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02.10.2024 03:42 PM
XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

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Today, gold is attracting some sellers. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar, buoyed by signs of a resilient U.S. labor market and fewer chances for more aggressive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve, is holding on to its recent gains from the past two days.

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This factor is primarily pressuring the precious metal. However, the decline in gold prices is being mitigated by the risk of a full-scale war in the Middle East. Fears resurfaced after reports of missile strikes by Iran on Israel on Tuesday. These developments are weighing on investor sentiment, supporting gold as a safe-haven asset.

Therefore, any further decline may be viewed as a buying opportunity. Today, short-term trading opportunities could arise from the release of the U.S. ADP employment report on private-sector jobs.

From a technical perspective, yesterday's strong upward movement during the North American session reinforced the short-term breakout point of the upward channel resistance. This has now turned into support within the $2,624–2,630 area. This zone now serves as a key support level, and a decisive break below it could trigger technical selling. The subsequent decline could pull the price down toward the $2,600 level and the next support zone around $2,560, potentially leading to the $2,532 level.

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On the other hand, the $2,672 level may continue to provide resistance ahead of the recent all-time high reached last week. Beyond that, the $2,700 level could serve as a new catalyst for the bulls, paving the way for the continuation of the long-term upward trend.

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