10.02.2025 06:55 PM
英鎊/日元（GBP/JPY）組合展現出適度的日內反彈，從去年九月以來未見的水平上升，並突破了關鍵心理水平189.00，從而打破了連續三天的下跌趨勢。
美國總統川普最近的關稅威脅重新引發了人們的擔憂，即日本可能也會成為新貿易關稅的目標，這對日元造成壓力，並促使外匯市場上的英鎊/日元的部分空頭回補。不過，日本銀行（BoJ）的鷹派預期以及對潛在全球貿易戰的擔憂，阻止了做空人士積極尋求日元避險頭寸。
日本銀行貨幣事務部總幹事正木和宏表示，若核心通脹率達到2%的目標，央行將繼續加息。這一觀點得到了連續第二個月日本實際工資上漲的支持，加強了日本銀行進一步收緊貨幣政策的理由。
與此同時，英國銀行的展望顯得遠不那麼樂觀，突顯出兩家央行之間貨幣政策差異的擴大。英國銀行上週將基準利率下調了25個基點，並下調了2025年的增長預測。此外，英國銀行行長Andrew Bailey暗示，今年可能進一步降息，這可能會限制英鎊/日元的上行潛力。
由於今日沒有重要的經濟數據來證實英鎊/日元是否觸底，交易者應等待強勁的買入信號再承諾建立多頭頭寸。一個值得關注的關鍵事件是英國銀行行長Andrew Bailey在週二的演講，這可能對英鎊產生重大影響，為英鎊/日元提供新動力。
從技術角度來看，日線圖上的振盪指標仍然深處於負值區域，加強了對英鎊/日元組合的看跌前景。
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