1.2429 的首次測試發生在 MACD 指標已經顯著高於零的時候,這限制了英鎊兌美元的上升空間。因此,我沒有買入 GBP/USD。
第二次測試 1.2429 時,MACD 指標處於超買區,觸發了賣出場景 #2。這導致英鎊兌美元下跌了30點,證實了交易設置的有效性。
市場仍然承壓,若多頭希望重新掌控局面,他們需要1.2430水準的強勢突破。目前的交易量顯示出賣方明顯佔據優勢。
此外,不可低估美國的經濟數據。關於通脹和消費支出的報告可能大幅影響美聯儲的決策過程,進而影響美元的強勢。
如果美國經濟數據優於預期,GBP/USD 可能面臨更多壓力。美國核心PCE價格指數數據疲軟,加上FOMC成員 Michelle Bowman 的鸽派言論,可能削弱美元並支援 GBP/USD。
寬鬆的利率立場可能會增加投資者對英鎊的需求,使英鎊兌美元在短期內成為更具吸引力的資產。
重要提示!在買入之前,請確認MACD高於零且開始上升。
重要提示!在賣出之前,請確認MACD低於零且開始下降。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
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