29.01.2025 01:34 PM
EUR/JPY貨幣對難以確立在關鍵心理關口162.00以上的位置。這一下跌主要是由於日圓需求增加所推動。儘管股市整體情緒樂觀，但預期日本央行今年進一步加息為日圓提供了支持。此外，對美國總統唐納德·特朗普貿易政策之經濟影響的擔憂，增強了日圓作為避險資產的地位，進一步限制了EUR/JPY的上漲潛力。
從技術角度來看，該貨幣對多次未能突破164.70水準，該水準與200日簡單移動平均線（SMA）一致，這表明日線圖上可能形成多頭頂型態。雖然震盪指標逐漸轉向負區域，顯示潛在的下行壓力，但在週四歐洲中央銀行（ECB）會議之前，開立空頭倉位需保持謹慎。然而，早期信號仍然指向該貨幣對可能下滑。
主要支撐位於161.55至161.50之間，靠近50日SMA，接著是161.00關口。跌破此一門檻可能使該貨幣對面臨進一步損失，可能推向160.50，並延伸至心理關口160.00以及月低159.70附近。
另一方面，日內高點大約在162.50是即時的阻力位，然後是163.00水平。突破此障礙可能引發空頭回補反彈，目標163.65–163.70阻力區，隨後可能回到164.00。如動力持續，該貨幣對可能會測試200日SMA，顯示趨勢動態可能改變。
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