黃金價格仍然承受壓力,靠近其日內區間的下緣,受到多種因數的影響。昨日,美國美元在接近三個月高點後,修正性回撤暫停,受到聯儲會逐步降息預期的支持。同時,積極的風險情緒削弱了作為傳統避險資產的貴金屬的增長。
然而,美國國債收益率的持續下滑阻止了美元多頭採取積極立場。此外,在11月5日總統大選前美國的政治不確定性,以及中東緊張局勢升級,也可能對貴金屬提供適度支持。今天的交易機會應關注美國的宏觀經濟數據,包括耐用品訂單和密歇根大學消費者信心指數的修正值。
從技術角度來看,近期短期圖表上的價格走勢形成了一個看跌的“頭肩頂”形態。該形態的頸線支撐位位於$2,707附近,現在作為強勁的支撐。任何進一步的拋售將價格推至心理水平$2,700以下,都將為更深的損失鋪路,將價格下拉至$2,685支撐位,並有可能進一步擴展至$2,662水平。
另一方面,$2,740水平已成為立即的強大屏障。持續的強勁表現超過該區域將使“頭肩頂”形態失效,讓貴金屬瞄準重測本週早些時候達到的約$2,758的歷史高位。隨後的上升趨勢可能推動XAU/USD對達到心理水平$2,800。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
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