昨天我们看到欧元/美元汇率创下新高,触及6/8 murray,位于1.2085,无法在该水平之上盘整,并且我们看到欧元/美元下跌,直到当日基本支撑1.2038。从基本面来看,支撑这一看涨反弹的是美元的疲软以及对风险的偏好。
12月2日(星期二)今天上午的美国交易时段,我们注意到欧元/美元已经分形,因为上一个1.2085下方的蜡烛非常短小且弱,在接下来的几个小时内可能会有分形在6/8 murray下盘整,因此我们可以预期在该水平下方会出现看跌走势。
从上方来看,欧元/美元只有超过murray 的6/8并且日收盘价高于1.2085,我们的下一个目标才会是⅞ murray 的1.2146,然而派指标处于超买区域,未来几天,该货币对即将修正至1.20和1.19区域。
我们的建议是在蜡烛走弱并离开十字星的情况下,才能在1.2085以下卖出,这将是一个修正信号,另一方面,如果跌破21日均线1.2060附近,我们可以预期向下移动至即时支撑位1.2023。
同样,如果汇价急剧跌破1.2023(5/8 murray),则会增加下行压力,目标至200日均线1.1940。鹰派指标在接下来的几个小时内显示看跌信号。
12月2日上午的市场情绪表明,有75%的人卖出该货币对,相比昨天的数字,我们看到有2%的增长,在短期内欧元可能会继续试图上涨并突破1.2140水平,但首先,我们应该等待货币对的修正,进入新的看涨浪潮。
12月2日至03日的欧元/美元交易提示
如果该货币对回撤至1.2082区域,卖出,在1.2046和1.2023(5/8 murray)止盈,在1.2125上方止损
如果货币对突破1.2023,卖出,在1.1962和1.1920(EMA 200)止盈,在1,2065上方止损。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
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